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Historically, forward-looking returns have been closely correlated to starting yields

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Forecasting folly: Turn off financial TV & news

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S&P envy: A diversified portfolio is ripe for regret

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Real S&P 500 index periods of zero returns since 1905

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Good things have been increasing

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Bad things have been declining

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Price changes in consumer goods and services in the USA since 1997

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Dispersion between growth and value (1995-2000) and (2000-2005)

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GDP comparison US states vs. countries

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Real home prices have risen in most markets since 2000, but especially in highest-cost metros

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